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快讯:加元一度低于平算随后略高于$1

文章发布时间:November 30, 2007

据路透社消息,加元今天犹如跷跷板一样,一度跌至平算之下,然后又回升到略高于$US1的水平。

周五中午前后,加元跌至99.94美分,几分钟之后,立马又回升,超越平算,回复到1加元兑US$1.0044的水平。

11月7号,加元曾经达到US$1.1039,创下最高历史纪录。

专家分析说,加元下跌主要是商品价格下滑推动的结果。

首先是原油价格下降,纽约期油已经从前段的每桶US$96降至每桶US$89,然后是与能源价格相关的黄金价格下滑,目前美盎司只卖US$784,二者价格的下落使得与商品价格关系密切的加元随之做出反应。

主要商品价格下滑以及加元下跌,增加了加拿大中央银行是否会做出减息决策的不确定性。

(图片来源:路透社)

原文请见:

The Canadian dollar see-sawed below and above parity on Friday, as commodities rices sagged and economic growth data left investors uncertain about the prospect of an interest-rate cut next week.

Both before and after midday, it was trading as low as US99.94 cents, minutes later bouncing back to US$1.0044.

The loonie had previously dipped below the American dollar for the first time in almost two months on Tuesday.

Technical selling triggered a slump in U.S. crude oil prices to below US$89 a barrel, which was negative for Canada’s commodity-linked currency. And spot gold prices also dropped sharply, to around US$784 an ounce, partially due to the lower energy prices.

The drop in commodities prices overshadowed news that Canada’s economy grew more than expected, to an annualized 2.9% in the third quarter.

After the data was released, the Canadian dollar firmed, briefly rising to around US$1.006 from pre-data levels of 1.004, before falling back.

“I think it was a surprise to the market, but the reaction was fairly muted in dollar-Canada,” said David Bradley, director of foreign exchange at Scotia Capital.

“There are more reasons to be selling Canada, I think, so we had an initial move (higher), but we came back quickly.”

Prior to the release of the GDP numbers, a string of weak economic data had amplified concerns about the effects of the strong currency and the U.S. economic slowdown on the country’s struggling manufacturing sector.

There is no more domestic data ahead of Tuesday’s Bank of Canada interest rate announcement, and a recent Reuters poll showed investors are divided as to whether or not the bank will cut its key overnight rate from 4.50%.

Lower interest rates would generally make the currency, which has surged around 60% since 2002, less attractive to investors.

The Canadian dollar is down about 5.5% this month after surging to a modern-day high of US$1.1039 on Nov. 7. That’s biggest monthly decline since at least February, 1982, according to Reuters EcoWin.

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